Canadian Environmental Modelling Centre

Summer 1998 Newsletter






1998 Partners' Meeting

On June 9th and 10th our now-annual meeting with Industry Partners, interested consultants, and government representatives was held at Irwin Inn. The weather was most cooperative for this meeting with the largest ever attendance and a special afternoon session entirely organized by Anne McConnell of Procter & Gamble. It is hoped that this industry initiative will be the first of many others in subsequent meetings. We were also pleased to welcome special guest Kai Millyard to this year's meeting. As always, informal discussions continued through lunches and over dinner. These provided an excellent opportunity for individual industry representatives to raise potential new directions for the research group. We were gratified by the overwhelmingly positive reaction to our work so far. The encouragement we receive on these occasions provides much of the enthusiasm and impetus to carry us through the year ahead.

Meeting Participants (from left to right) Front Row: Rick Brown, Reed Harris, David Kane, Don Mackay, Eva Webster, Trevor Scholtz. Second Row: Jeanette Southwood, Michael Leggett, Jerry Coyle, Lynne Milford, Katherine Gillan, Ray Beauchamp, Brendan Hickie, Ellen Bentzen and Aiden. Third Row: Jeff Ridal, Anne McConnell, Ken Taylor, Stacey Fernandez, Jack Soule, John Gannon, Roger Sutcliffe, Pam Kloepper-Sams. Back Row: Gord Cluett, Matthew MacLeod, Lynn McCarty, Brian Dimock, Holger Hintelmann, Rajesh Seth, Bob Bailey, Don Lush, Joe Muldoon, David Pennington, David Lean. Missing from Photo: Steven Sharpe, Grant Feasby, Liz Sahsuvar, Kai Millyard, Martha Lush.



Current Centre Activities

The meeting opened with the usual round of introductions and a brief overview by Don Mackay of the activities at the Centre over the past year.

Organics in the Multimedia Environment

Matthew MacLeod described his work on a comprehensive environmental fate and exposure assessment for benzene and the chlorobenzenes in Canada. The assessment follows a five stage process of (1) chemical classification, (2) quantifying discharge rates and environmental concentrations, (3) evaluative assessment of fate, (4) regional mass balance modelling, and (5) human exposure estimation. Both the EQC and ChemCAN models were applied during the study, and predictions of the ChemCAN model were found to be in satisfactory agreement with observed environmental concentrations. Last year Jim Argo raised the idea of combining exposure and location data to form an "accumulated exposure index" prompting this investigation into human exposure as a first step to developing such an index. A novel, probabilistic, multiple pathway model was developed to estimate human exposure to environmental contaminants, and applied to the chlorobenzenes. Results suggest that benzene and 1,4-dichlorobenzene are present in the environment at levels sufficient to cause near allowable daily intake (ADI) exposures for the general population, but the other substances are present at levels which represent exposures ranging from 1/10 to 1/1000 of the ADI. It was recognized that this simple approach is confounded by such complications as imported foods and the need for better data on background levels for inflow estimates. Soil monitoring in remote regions could supply improved background information however no such monitoring program exists in Canada. A paper on this work has been submitted to Chemosphere.

The Equilibrium Lipid Partitioning (ELP) method for examining ecosystem contamination was presented by Eva Webster. This method expresses the contaminant concentration in each medium of an ecosystem in terms of the concentration which would exist in lipid at equilibrium with the monitored medium.

These ELP concentrations can be expressed in the common units of g/m3 and plotted on a single graph. Such a graph immediately reveals biomagnification up the foodchain, and clearly shows time trends within the ecosystem as a whole. Changes which effect a single species but do not reflect the state of the ecosystem, can also be identified. The time trends in Lake Ontario and Lake Superior PCB contamination for 1977 to 1993 were used to demonstrate the usefulness of the ELP method. A further refinement was necessary to reduce the concentration data onto a single broad band indicating ecosystem contamination. This "adjustment" involved multiplying each ELP concentration by the average ratio of concentration in water and the concentration in each medium. The results for Lakes Ontario and Superior can be seen in the figures above.

The clear decline in PCB levels in these ecosystems can be seen, but there are differences between the two lakes.

While this method is proposed as a useful tool to assist in the interpretation of monitoring data and can be used to estimate concentrations in media below detection limits, it does not take the place of a comprehensive monitoring program.

The ELP method generated much interest and discussion among participants. A paper will be submitted to the Journal of Great Lakes Research.

This concept has also been applied to help interpret the multimedia concentrations of dioxins and furans in the UK. A report on this work is near completion.

Ellen Bentzen presented temporal trend data for PCBs in Lake Ontario lake trout collected by both American and Canadian government agencies. After accounting for differences in age and lipid, results of these surveys were comparable. PCBs declined rapidly from the 1970's to early 1980's followed by slower declines. Temporal data for rainbow smelt, slimy sculpin, Diporeia, Mysis relicta, and net plankton, plus food-web PCB accumulation studies were shown. Forage fish and invertebrates demonstrated substantial annual variability and no trend of decreasing contaminants. Much variability is resolved by fluctuations in lipid content demonstrating the importance of accounting for lipid in the interpretation of contaminants both over time and throughout food-webs.

This work on Great Lakes issues is being assembled for inclusion in the SOLEC (State of the Lakes Ecosystem Conference) which will be held in Buffalo in October of this year. This conference yields a periodic, authoritative statement on the condition of the Great Lakes as they respond to, and recover from, a variety of stresses including contaminants, nutrients, exotic species, and habitat changes.

The current status of work on the organic carbon partition coefficient (Koc) for hydrophobic chemicals, started by Jane Muncke last summer, was presented by Rajesh Seth who is continuing this investigation. Soils are the primary sink for hydrophobic chemicals, and soil sorption, characterized by Koc, has a profound effect on their fate, bioavailability, and effects. Unfortunately there is no consensus on the estimation methodology for Koc and numerous correlations have been derived. The results indicate that the variability in Koc is best expressed as a factor of uncertainty in (Koc/Kow). Rajesh is fianlizing his report which will include a recommendation for the optimal correlation approach and an assessment of likely error limits.

Aquatic Systems

Lynne Milford provided an update on her modelling of the Otonabee River - Rice Lake system. Two models were presented which predict total PCB fate and concentrations both spatially and temporally, for water, sediment and fish (biota). The steady-state model provides important spatial information with regards to each of the six segments of the system and the dynamic model provides insight into temporal variability. Since historical data for direct emissions of PCBs were not available, a Gaussian-like distribution was used in the dynamic model to account for these emissions over a 60 year period (1940-2000). There was reasonable agreement between concentrations predicted by the models, and those observed in the field. A sensitivity analysis demonstrated that changes in the magnitude of the significant process rates affects the concentrations at peak years but concentrations ultimately reached equilibrium at approximately the same time. The Otonabee River - Rice Lake system is responding to reduction of PCB emission naturally and does not require any remedial actions to be taken.

A sequel to this work will be a collaborative project with David Lean and Jeff Ridal of the St. Lawrence River Institute of Environmental Science in which the behaviour of PCBs in the St. Lawrence River Area of Concern (AOC) will be modelled. This area extends from below the Moses-Saunders power dam at Cornwall, Ontario / Massena, New York to the Beauharnois power dam in Quebec.

This is envisaged as contributing to a future, larger scale model of the entire Lake Ontario / St. Lawrence system.

Brendan Hickie provided an overview of a project funded by Alcan to characterize the mass balance of PAHs in Lac St. Louis near Montreal, Quebec. It is a shallow fluvial lake at the confluence of the St. Lawrence and Ottawa rivers with a very short water residence time (~15 hours). The QWASI model was modified to include three lake segments with a single overlying air compartment. PAH inputs considered were background advective inputs by rivers and the atmosphere, Alcan stack emissions, and a small direct discharge from Alcan to the lake. Overall, only a small proportion of the stack emissions enter the lake from the atmosphere but these appear to contribute about 50% of the PAH inputs. This is probably an overestimate since the PAH loadings from the greater Montreal area have not yet been well characterised.

Brendan also reported on the ongoing project to model contaminant accumulation through the Arctic marine food-web which is funded by the Department of Indian Affairs and Northern Development - Northern Contaminants Program (DIAND-NCP). The NCP is driven by contaminant-related health concerns of northern people who rely on local food sources including marine mammals. The presentation included an overview of the marine food-web structure and the potential problems of applying a steady-state food-web model to this system. These include the extended time required for marine mammals to reach steady-state (several years at least), and the extreme seasonal changes in the system. Of particular interest is the potential role of the spring ice algae community in the bioaccumulation process.

Katherine Gillan presented an overview of her work on the development of a bioaccumulation model for amphibians, specifically frogs. The apparent global decline of amphibian populations as well as high incidences of limb deformities may make these animals good indicators of local contamination. Amphibians spend varying degrees of their lives in water and on land depending on the species. Uptake routes for contaminants include food, skin, and lungs (or gills for tadpoles). Data are being collected regarding physiological parameters for entirely aquatic frog species such as the green frog for the bioaccumulation model and eventually may be applied to a life cycle-type model.

Stacey Fernandez of SENES Consulting gave a presentation on a model used to assess risks associated with a landfill being located in an open-pit mine. The possibility of mercury contamination of an adjoining river from leachate was used as an example. The fate and transport of mercury was determined and the effects on three local receptor populations, fish, gulls and mink, were discussed. Mink were found to be the most sensitive receptors to the potential mercury contamination.

Jeanette Southwood of Angus Environmental gave a brief presentation describing application of fugacity models to various environmental problems. Disparate examples of agrochemical fate in ponds in Saskatchewan and the fate of pulp and paper mill effluent in rivers in Finland were used to illustrate the flexibility of the basic QWASI fugacity model.

Industry Initiatives: Focus on Consumer Products

Anne McConnell of Procter and Gamble introduced the topic and the speakers of this special session focussing on the assessment of risk associated with household cleaning products. It was suggested that this type of session become a regular feature of these meetings to facilitate industry taking a more pro-active role in defining the research directions of the Centre.

Pam Kloepper-Sams, Environmental Safety Section of Procter and Gamble, described their approach to environmental risk assessment and modelling for household cleaning products. Since the bulk of these products finally end up in the sewers, she gave a comprehensive overview of the detailed modelling of their fate and transport conducted by P&G as they pass through the sewage treatment system and into receiving US waterways. The EQC model is used as a part of this process to match with regulators' expectations, however, more emphasis is put on other aspects of the product life-cycle since these are down-the-drain products by design. The receiving waterways in Canada are not well parameterized for modelling estimates so values derived from similar American systems are used and expected to give conservative estimates. The results of these models are used to steer product development toward more acceptable, non-harmful products. This echos the report given last year by John Gannon of Dupont who spoke of the use of Level I as an initial screening tool to avoid the development of problematic chemicals. It is very valuable to us to know how the models developed at the Centre are being used by our partners.

A number of industry priorities were identified including:

Ed Berry from the Association of Canadian Manufacturers of Chemical Specialties outlined the post-consumer solid waste issues associated with household chemicals. The banning of solid wastes associated with household chemicals from municipal landfills is based on "perceived" hazard and varies from place to place with regulations coming from various levels of government with a lack of uniformity. The example of a toilet bowl cleaner bottle was used to illustrate the problem; toilet bowl cleaner is designed to be flushed, but in some jurisdictions, the residue in an empty bottle is labelled as household hazardous waste with the associated high cost disposal. This emphasized the need for a scientific basis for the assessment of risks associated with the solid waste disposal of these chemicals and to assist in decision-making and the need to bridge the gap between the perceived hazard and the actual risk. Two actions were identified; a need for models of landfill sites with mixtures of chemicals, and a need for producers to take a pro-active approach informing the public of a product's life-cycle.

Thank you, Anne, for your efforts in organising this interesting and thought-provoking session.

The Government Scene

David Pennington from the Systems Analysis Branch of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), USA, gave a comprehensive overview of the Agency's initiatives, particularly in the area of application of computer-based tools for the assessment of chemicals and their impacts. The use of models by producers to move beyond compliance was encouraged. He elaborated on his branch's application of the EQC model for comparing the relative impact of chemicals and argued that multimedia models provided a scientific basis for decision-making. The EQC model is also being used by the EPA as a part of the Waste Minimization Prioritization Tool (WMPT) for the preliminary assessment of chemicals based on PBT (persistence, bioaccumulation and toxicity) scores. About 4500 chemicals have been evaluated with WMPT. He emphasized the need for extending the ChemCAN model to regions in the USA for a more accurate evaluation of the regional ecological impact of chemicals of concern. The need to address inorganics and metals was raised. A special, spreadsheet version of EQC was developed by David for use by the EPA.

Roger Sutcliffe of Environment Canada, New Chemicals Evaluation Section, Commercial Chemicals Branch, gave an overview of the use of fugacity models for the assessment of partitioning and fate of new chemical substances. These types of models tend to be most useful at a screening level since there can be discrepancies between predicted and observed results. The generic type models are useful for determining fate in a multi-media environment, however, it is important to perform uncertainty analyses on input parameters. If models are to be used in industry submissions the version number should be included so that any discrepancies in model results can be traced. Concerns were raised regarding models being used to seek waivers for data submissions. Models should supplement, not replace, laboratory experiments. Models are excellent screening tools, but experimental data must accompany submissions to Environment Canada.

Ken Taylor also from Environment Canada, Chemicals Evaluation Division, made a brief presentation on the use of models in the environmental assessment of priority substances under the Canadian Environmental Protection Act (CEPA). The possibility of allowing future new chemical notifications based on modelled physical chemical properties was discussed, and some potential pitfalls identified.

It was generally agreed that models need to be tested and calibrated in much the same way as analytical chemists calibrate their methods and instruments. While more research is needed, the decision-making process should proceed with the best information currently available.

Global Models

Don Mackay briefly reviewed the global modelling work being done by Frank Wania with Department of Indian and Northern Affairs (DIAND) sponsorship. The model has been revised and a description of a new version has been submitted to Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry. A sequel paper describes the application of the model to HCH, a component of technical lindane which has been widely emitted in past decades. The results show convincingly the transport and accumulation of this substance to the Arctic as well as the overall global response to a decade-long "pulse" of HCH release. This work is feeding directly into United Nations programs for global control of persistent chemicals.

Liz Sahsuvar, a Masters student at York University under the supervision of Len Barrie of Environment Canada, presented her work on developing a 1-D column version of the Northern Aerosol Regional Climate Model (NARCM) to explain the temporal variations observed in air-phase PCB congener patterns in the Arctic. The work includes parameterization of physical chemical properties of PCBs for the atmosphere-water/air/soil/vegetation exchange processes as well as partitioning between the gas phase and aerosols.

Trevor Scholtz of ORTECH described air-surface exchange models currently under development at the Canadian Global Emissions Interpretation Centre. Air-soil exchange was briefly described, along with a more detailed discussion of air-ocean exchange models. Air-plant exchange was discussed at last year's meeting. The application of air-surface exchange models such as these in describing the "grasshopper effect" or global migration of persistent organic contaminants, was discussed.

These studies are of particular interest to us because air-surface exchange is a key component of our multimedia models.

Metals in the Environment

Rajesh Seth reported progress on fugacity-based, mass balance modelling of the fate and transport of metals in the aquatic environment. The approach is being applied to nickel and copper contaminated Alice and Baby Lakes in the Sudbury region of Ontario in collaboration with David Woodfine (one of Trent's first graduating Ph.D. students) and Magda Havas (David's thesis supervisor). Sediment cores provided the monitoring data. Potential adsorbents for metals in these lakes have been identified and their properties defined. Information on metal speciation and partition to inorganic and organic sorbents is being derived with the help of models such as the Windermere Humic Aqueous Model (WHAM) and USEPA's MINTEQA2 Model. The derived information is being used for modelling the steady- and unsteady-state fate and transport of nickel and copper in these lakes.

Holger Hintelmann summarized the findings of the recent workshop "Sources of error in methylmercury determinations" that he co-organized on behalf of the European Community (within the framework of the Standard Materials and Testing program). The major issue of the workshop was the observation by Holger and others that methylmercury is accidentally generated during the analytical procedure while analyzing sediment samples leading to an overestimation of the true values. All papers presented on this workshop will be published in a special issue of Chemosphere with Holger as guest editor.

A study of the bioaccumulation of mercury in caddisfly nymphs conducted by Elizabeth Haack and John Cole, two honours chemistry students under his supervision, was presented by Holger. The rates of uptake and elimination for methylmercury and inorganic mercury from water and dietary sources were determined. The study showed that organic Hg is accumulated at much faster rates than inorganic Hg. Food was the major source. Uptake from water was significant, but can not alone explain the observed natural mercury levels. The work showed again the potential of caddisfly nymphs as biomonitors and the importance of biomagnification of methylmercury in the aquatic food-web.

Holger also introduced his graduate student, Brian Dimock, to meeting participants.

Reed Harris of TetraTech Consultants provided an update on the mercury model he presented at the previous meeting. This multimedia, steady-state model allows for dynamic growth in fish examining all fate pathways and processes within an aquatic ecosystem. It has been used to predict concentrations in fish with changes in atmospheric loadings and applied to 21 different lakes in Wisconsin and in the Florida Everglades. To better understand some of the processes in the mercury cycle, collaborative work with H. Hintelmann on a whole lake study has been proposed.

Website

If by some accident, or in the course of company re-organization, you fail to receive copies of our newsletters, please remember that we post them on our website (www.trentu.ca/envmodel). If a newsletter appears there, and you did not receive your copy, please contact us. It's not intentional, we've probably just mis-placed you.

Please suggest other individuals who should receive our Newsletter. Send the address to ewebster@trentu.ca

Please visit our website from time to time.

Future Meetings

A lunch meeting at SETAC in Charlotte NC for November 18 (tentatively) is planned following last year's success. This brief meeting allows many of our partners who already attend SETAC to be updated on the Centre's activities and progress.

Next year's meeting is tentatively scheduled for June 8th and 9th, 1999.

While we are quickly filling the conference room at Irwin Inn, there was a strong general feeling that we should continue to meet there. If you would like to host a session as Anne did this year, please let us know so that we can plan to have sufficient time for discussion. We can not over-emphasise the importance, to us, of the participation of our industry partners and we urge those of you who have not yet attended these meetings to do so, if at all possible, next year.



The Year in Review

Conferences and Meetings

In January, David Lean, NSERC-Industry Chair at the University of Ottawa, and close collaborator with the Centre, held his first Partners' meeting. Eva Webster presented an overview of the work of the Centre and Lynne Milford talked about her work modelling river ecosystems, especially the proposed application to the section of the St. Lawrence River by Cornwall. We see these two research programs as highly complementary and hope to further strengthen the existing collaborative efforts.

In February Eva Webster and Matthew MacLeod attended C4's meeting at Toronto airport to report on C4 funded projects as well as work in general at the Centre. It was interesting to learn of the other research they are funding.

In the Spring, Lynne Milford returned to Cornwall to attend the Great Lakes Conference with Matthew MacLeod. Brendan Hickie was an invited speaker and discussed his modelling of the St. Lawrence beluga whale population.

Matthew MacLeod and Frank Wania presented posters on Frank's global model and snowpack modelling at the DIAND Northern Contaminants Program review meeting in Calgary, and Brendan presented a poster on his Arctic marine foodweb modelling.

A large contingent from the Centre attended the International Association for Great Lakes Research (IAGLR) conference in Hamilton in May. Don presented two talks: A Synoptic Indicator of Contaminant Levels in the Great Lakes Basin; and Exchange of Organic Chemicals Between Soil, Vegetation and the Atmosphere.

In March Don Mackay gave a seminar at Trent on the Two Resistance Theory of Mass Diffusion. Also in that month he gave a talk at the University of Guelph on Persistent and Hydrophobic Chemicals in the Environment. In April Don attended a workshop on persisent organic pollutants at the Stockholm Institute, York (UK) and he gave a presentation on global modelling of chemicals at a conference at Lancaster. Later he visited the Unilever Environmental Research Laboratory at Port Sunlight.

Visitors to Trent

Bruce Conard, the representative for INCO which is sponsoring the Junior Chair, visited Trent in August 1997. A visit which was returned in October 1997 when Holger went to Sudbury to see INCO's mining operations and wastewater treatment facilities.



Ian Cousins from Lancaster University gave a seminar on air-soil exchange of toxic organics in the Applications of Modelling graduate program seminar series during his visit to the Centre this Spring. We hope to again benefit from his expertise during his visit to Canada this summer.

Conny Breitkopf from Gerrit Schuurmann's research group in Leipzig visited us to collaborate on a multimedia model which has since been linked with their QSAR model. It is hoped that this will lead to collaboration on sensitivity analysis and model validations.

Antonio Di Guardo, now at the University of Milan, visited in December of 1997 to continue work on ChemCAN, improving the handling of aerosols and preparing a paper.

Hayley Hung has returned to Lancaster where she is measuring the kinetics and equilibria of PCB uptake by grasses as part of her Ph.D. program on the air-vegetation-domestic animal foodchain.

The Fugacity Workshop at Trent, on the Monday preceeding the Partners' Meeting, offered an opportunity for industry and government representatives as well as consultants to gain a deeper insight into the workings of models developed at the Centre. Computers were available both at the Workshop and in the evenings at Irwin Inn for participants to experiment with various models, ask questions, and offer suggestions for future directions.

IAESTE

International Association for the Exchange of Students for Technical Experience (IAESTE), recently honoured Don for his involvement in the program. Since the institution of his position at Trent, three students have come to the Centre to work for the summer months under his direction.

Claudine Kavanagh (1996) who spent much of her time working on chemical analysis with Chris Metcalfe.

Jane Muncke (1997) assisted with the KOC project being continued by Rajesh.

Anders Thygesen arrived June this year and will be assisting with various projects, but especially snow modelling.

Miscellaneous Projects

In addition to these activities a couple of other projects are noteworthy.

We continue to collaborate with Dr. Jocelyne Hellou of the Bedford Institute of Oceanography on bioaccumulation in marine fish.

A project is underway in cooperation with the World Wildlife Fund Canada on a model of human exposure to DDT indoors following spraying for mosquito control.

Recent Centre Publications

Mackay D, Paterson, S., Kicsi, G., Di Guardo, A., Cowan, C.E. "Assessing the Fate of New and Existing Chemicals: A Five Stage Process". Environ. Toxicol. Chem.. 15 No.9 , 1618-1626, 1996.

Mackay D, Paterson, S., Di Guardo, A., Cowan, C.E. "Evaluating the Environmental Fate of a Variety of Types of Chemicals Using the EQC Model", Environ. Toxicol. Chem. 15 No.9, 1627- 1637, 1996.

Mackay D, Paterson, S., Kicsi, G., Cowan, C.E., Di Guardo, A., Kane, D.M. "Assessment of Chemical Fate in the Environment Using Evaluative, Regional and Local-Scale Models: Illustrative Application to Chlorobenzene and Linear Alkylbenzene Sulfonates" Environ. Toxicol. Chem. 15 No.9, 1638-1648, 1996.

Bentzen E, D.R.S. Lean, Taylor W.D., and Mackay D. "Role of Food Web Structure on Lipid and Bioaccumulation of Organic Contaminants by Lake Trout (Salvelinus namaycush)", Can. J. Fish. Aquat. 53: 2397-2407, 1996

Mackay, D., Southwood, J.M., Kukkonen, J., Shiu, W.Y., Tam, D.D., Varhanickova D., and Lun R. "Modeling the Fate of 2,4,6-Trichlorophenol in Pulp and Paper Mill Effluent in lake Saimaa, Finland". St. Lucie Press, Delray Beach, Fl. pp. 219-228. 1996.

Wania, F., Mackay, D. "Tracking the Distribution of Persistent Organic Pollutants". Environ. Sci. & Technol., 30 No.9, 390A-396A. 1996.

Mackay, D., Jia, C.Q., Hoff, J., Gregor, D., and Wania, F. "The Behaviour of Organic Chemicals in Snow". Edited by E.W. Wolff and R. C. Bales. Published in cooperation with NATO Scientific Affairs Division, by Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg, Berlin, pp 587-593. 1996.

Mackay, D. " Fate and Exposure Modelling". SETAC News Vol. 16, No. 4. July 1996, pp. 15-16.

Falter, R., Hintelmann H., and Ilgen G. "Methylquecksilberbestimmung: Die Fallen der Wasserdampfdestillationstechnik, oder wie man sich Methylquecksilber während der Probenaufarbeitung selbst herstellt." CHIMIA 50:304, 1996.

Hintelmann H. "Distillation of monomethylmercury using the MICRO DIST system" Technical report prepared for Lachat Instruments, 1996.

Shiu, W.Y., Wania F, Hung, H and Mackay D. " Temperature Dependence of Aqueous Solubility of Selected Chlorobenzenes, Polychlorinated Biphenyls and Dibenzofuran". J. Chem. Eng. Data. 42:2, pp.293-297. 1997.

Mackay D. and Calcott, D.. "Partitioning and Physical Chemical Properties of PAHs", Chapter 3 for Handbook of Environmental Chemistry, "PAHs and Related Compounds", edited by A.H. Neilson, Published by Springer, Berlin. 1997

Mackay D. "Multimedia Mass Balance Models of Chemical Distribution and Fate", Chapter 8 of "Ecotoxicology" edited by G. Schuurmann and B. Markert and published by John Wiley. pp. 237-257, 1997.

Shiu, W.Y. and Mackay D. "Henry's Law Constants of Selected Aromatic Hydrocarbons, Alcohols, and Ketones". J. Chem Engng. Data, 42:27-30. 1997.

Wania, F and Mackay D., "Global Distillation" Our Planet (The United Nations Environment Programme Magazine for Environmentally Sustainable Development) Vol. 8:6, pp. 15-16. 1997.

MacFarlane, S., Mackay D., Shiu, W.Y.. "Application of Screening Model for Assessing Subsurface NAPL Contamination and Remediation". Paper 97 RA 132A 132A.06, Air and Waste Management Association 90th Annual Meeting & Exhibition, June 8-13, 1997, Toronto, Ontario, Canada 12pp.

MacFarlane, S., Mackay, D. "A Fugacity-Based Screening Model to Assess Contamination and Remediation of the Subsurface Containing Non-Aqueous Phase Liquids" J. of Soil Contamination 17, 17-46, 1998.

Bahadur, N.P., Shiu, W.Y., Boocock, D.G.B., and Mackay D. "Temperature Dependence of Octanol-Water Partition Coefficient for Selected Chlorobenzenes". J. Chem. Eng. Data 42, 685-688, 1997.

Hung, H., Mackay, D. "A Novel and Simple Model of the Uptake of Organic Chemicals by Vegetation from Air and Soil." Chemosphere, 35, 959-977. 1997.

Mackay, D., Shiu, W.Y., Ma, K.C. "Illustrated Handbook of Physical Chemical Properties and Environmental Fate for Organic Chemicals". Vol. 5 Pesticide Chemicals. Lewis Publishers/CRC Press New York, N.Y. 1997

Xie, W.H., Shiu, W.Y., Mackay, D. "A Review of the Effect of Salts on the Solubility of Organic Compounds in Seawater. Marine Environ. Res.44. 429-444. 1997.

Finizio, A., Mackay, D., Bidleman, T. and Harner T. "Octanol-Air Partition Coefficient as a Predictor of Partitioning of Semi-Volatile Organic Chemicals to Aerosols" Atmos. Environ. 31: 2289-2296. 1997

Mackay, D., Di Guardo, A., Hickie, B., Webster, E. "Environmental Modelling: Progress and Prospects". SAR and QSAR in Environ. Res. 1997. 6: 1-17

Barrie, L., Macdonald, R., Bidleman, T., Diamond, M., Gregor, D., Semkin, R., Strachan, W., Alaee, M., Backus, S., Bewers, M., Gobeil, C., Halsall, C, Hoff, J., Li, A., Lockhart, L., Mackay, D., Muir, D., Pudykiewicz, J., Reimer, K., Smith, J., Stern G., Schroeder, W., Wagemann, R., Wania, F., Yunker, M. " Chapter 2. Sources, Occurrence and Pathways". In: Jensen, J., Adare, K. and Shearer, R. (Eds) Canadian Arctic Contaminants Assessment Report, Indian and Northern Affairs Canada, Ottawa 1997.

Wania, F., Pacyna, J.M., and Mackay, D. "Global Fate of Persistent Organic Pollutants". Toxicol. & Environ. Chem. pp. 1-8. 1997

Hintelmann H., Falter R., Ilgen G. and Evans R. D. "Determination of artifactual methylmercury (CH3Hg+) formation in environmental samples using stable Hg2+ isotopes with ICP-MS detection: Calculation of contents applying species specific isotope addition" Fresenius J Anal Chem, 358:363-370, 1997.

Hintelmann H. and Evans R. D. "Application of stable isotopes in environmental tracer studies - Measurement of monomethylmercury (CH3Hg+) by isotope dilution ICP-MS and detection of species transformation" Fresenius J

Anal Chem, 358:378-385, 1997.

Hintelmann H., Welbourn P. M. and Evans R. D. "Measurement of complexation of methylmercury(II) compounds by freshwater humic substances using equilibrium dialysis" Environ Sci Technol, 31:489-495, 1997.

Lun, R., Lee, K., De Marco, L., Nalewajko, C. and Mackay, D. "A Model of the Fate of Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons in the Saguenay Fjord". Environ. Toxicol. and Chem. 17, 333-341, 1998.

Southwood, J.M., Muir, D.C.G., Mackay, D. "Modelling Agrochemical Dissipation in Surface Microlayers Following Aerial Deposition". Chemosphere (in press) 1998

Hoff, J.T., Gregor, D., Mackay, D., Wania, F., Jia, C.Q. "Measurement of the Specific Surface Area of Snow with the Nitrogen Adsorption Technique". Environ. Sci. Technol. 32: 58-62, 1998

Wania, F., Haugen, J.E., Lei, Y.D. and Mackay, D. "Temperature Dependence of Atmospheric Concentrations of Semivolatile Organic Compounds. Environ. Sci. Technol. 32: 1013-1021. 1998.

Hellou, J., Mackay, D., Banoub, J.H. "Dietary and Aqueous Exposure of Finfish to Organochlorine Compounds: A Case Study. Environ. Contam. Toxicol., 34: 280-288. 1998.

Scott, S., Mackay, D., and Webster E. "Estimation of Spatially Variable Atmospheric Concentrations Deduced from Regional Mass Balance Models". Chemosphere 36, 2507-2522 , 1998.

Thomas, G., Sweetman, A.J., Ockenden, W.A., Mackay, D. and Jones, K.C. "Air - Pasture Transfer of PCBs. Environ. Sci. Technol. 32, 936-942, 1998.

Webster E., Mackay, D., Wania, F. "Evaluating Environmental Persistence" Environ. Toxicol. Chem. (in press ) 1998

Macleod M., Mackay, D. "An Assessment of the Environmental Fate and Exposure of Benzene and the Chlorobenzenes in Canada" (Submitted to Chemosphere June 1998)

Mackay, D. and Webster, E. "Linking Emissions to Prevailing Concentrations - Exposure on a Local Scale." Environmetrics, 9: (in press) 1998.

Muncke, J., Seth, R. Mackay, D. "Estimation of the Organic Carbon Partition Coefficient (KOC) for Hydrophobic Chemicals - A Critique" (Paper in Preparation)

Woodfine, D., Mackay, D., Seth, R. and Havas, M. "Predicting the Fate of Nickel and Copper in Lakes Affected by Smelter Pollution: Applicability of the QWASI Model " (Paper in Preparation)

Milford, L., Mackay, D., Metcalfe, C.D. "A Model of the Fate of Polychlorinated Biphenyls in the Otonabee River-River Lake Ecosystem, Peterborough Ontario" (Paper in Preparation)

Southwood, J.M., Mackay, D., Kukkonen, J., Lun, R., and Shiu, W.J. "Modelling the Fate of Organochlorine Chemicals in Pulp and Paper Mill Effluents in Lake Saimaa, Finland. (Paper in Preparation for Chemosphere)

The Centre in the New Millenium

The Centre started on July 1, 1995 and has now been in existence for 3 years. During this period we have built up a viable group, fashioned a purposeful modelling research program, and established a good working relationship with our partners. Funding is assured for the next two years, ie. until July 1, 2000.

Our agreement with NSERC requires that we submit a proposal for renewal at 40 months, in November 1998. Our intention is to maintain the Centre at its present level of effort and with much the same research thrust for a further 5 year period, from 2000 to 2005. Negotiations with NSERC are already underway to clarify exactly what we can expect from them, but regardless of the outcome, we will prepare a report and proposal by November 1998 with a possible site visit in early 1999. As part of that proposal we must seek commitments for support and funding from our partners for the period 2000 to 2005. We recognize that it may be difficult to make commitments so far in advance, but we must present a proposal for a viable, funded program to NSERC.

Accordingly, in the next month we will be contacting our partners individually with a view to obtaining letters of support and funding commitments. Please factor this into your plans! Any assistance you can provide regarding new partners will be most welcome.

It will also assist us if you as a partners or collaborators can write up a letter commenting on your association with the Centre and pointing out any benefits you have derived from this association.

We hope we can count on your continued support to maintain the Centre as a leader in environmental modelling both in Canada and internationally.

Return to the General Information Index
Posted on August 6, 1998.